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Buyers and Processors
Crop Progress Report

Crop Progress Report August 31, 2010

Harvest of the 2010 U.S. hard red spring wheat crop was 69 percent complete as of August 29. This is up from 53 percent the previous week and well ahead of the 2009 pace of 36 percent but still slightly behind the five-year average of 75 percent. Favorable weather conditions allowed notable progress to again take place in North Dakota and more notable gains in Montana up through August 28. However, a return of scattered showers, thunderstorms, high humidity and areas of heavy rain will likely delay harvest progress into the middle to latter part of this week. In addition, areas of western and north central North Dakota and northern Montana continue to be slowed by wheat that is not yet fully mature with moisture levels that are still too high for harvest.

Progress by state shows Minnesota and South Dakota both over 95 percent complete. North Dakota is 74 percent complete, up from 53 percent the previous week and near the five-year average of 70 percent. In Montana, harvest advanced to 31 percent, up from 14 percent the previous week but still well behind the five-year average of 73 percent and even behind the 2009 pace of 40 percent.

Producer and elevator reports continue to show strong yields, excellent grade quality and protein levels that are generally higher than 2009, in most areas. Protein levels have skewed lower as the harvest progresses west but there still appears to be a better balance of protein in the 2010 crop. Based on samples analyzed through August 20, representing about one-half of the crop, average protein content is 13.9 percent, higher than the final level of 13.1 percent in 2009, but lower than the initial harvest in the east. Average test weight is 61.8 pounds/bushel (81.3 kg/hl), similar to last year and damage is very low at 0.1 percent. Falling numbers are sound on that portion of the harvest with an average of 390 seconds. Recent rains are a quality concern for producers in some areas, but the delayed maturity and cooler than normal temperatures should help minimize any quality loss.

The northern U.S. durum harvest is 43 percent complete in North Dakota and 20 percent complete in Montana. Both states are behind their five-year average paces of 53 and 57 percent, respectively, but still ahead of 2009. In Montana, 17 percent of the durum has yet to turn color. Yield reports indicate above-average production but lower than average protein levels. Based on the analysis of only 10 percent of the expected samples, average protein is 12.4 percent, down from the final level of 13.4 percent in 2009. Average test weight is 60.6 pounds/bushel (78.9 kg/hl), below last year but still above the minimum level for a #1 grade. No other official grading data is available. Producers and elevators reports on harvested durum prior to the recent rains indicated good to excellent grade and color but some samples are showing lower vitreous kernel levels due to the lower protein levels and recent rains.


Percent Headed and Harvested by State
  8/29/10 Last week Last year 5 Year Avg.
ND Spring - % headed 100 100 100 100
ND Spring - % harvested 74 53 20 70
ND Durum - % headed 100 99 99 99
ND Durum - % harvested 43 19 8 53
Minnesota - % headed 100 100 100 100
Minnesota - % harvested 97 89 26 75
Montana - % headed 100 97 99 100
Montana - % harvested 31 14 40 73
South Dakota - % headed 100 100 100 100
South Dakota - % harvested 95 94 89 97
U.S. - % headed 100 99 100 100
U.S. - % harvested 69 53 36 75

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